Tennis · WTA Hong Kong · 03/11, 03:00
Prediction: Antonia Ruzic vs Alina Charaeva
Team pages: Antonia Ruzic · Alina Charaeva
Prediction summary
Winner
Antonia Ruzic
Alina Charaeva
Estimated games
23.7
Recent form · 10 last
Antonia Ruzic
7-3 (W-L)
Alina Charaeva
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Antonia Ruzic
1–0
Alina Charaeva
(1 last)
- 30 May2-0 12-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Antonia Ruzic 1496 · Alina Charaeva 1542
| Antonia Ruzic | Alina Charaeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 45% | 55% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alina Charaeva (rating 1496 vs 1542).
- Head-to-head: Antonia Ruzic 1–0 Alina Charaeva (1).
Statistics
| Antonia Ruzic | Alina Charaeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.2 | 1.5-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.5-12.7 | 12.4-11.7 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 4.4 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 58.3% | 70.5% |
| Break % | 48.1% | 50.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.7
H2H · Antonia Ruzic 1 – 0 Alina Charaeva (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Antonia Ruzic 1–0 Alina Charaeva
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05/23 ITF W40 Otocec | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Antonia Ruzic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Claire Liu WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 23/10 | Katie Boulter WTA Osaka · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 20/10 | Paula Badosa WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 15/10 | Bianca Andreescu WTA Rovereto · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 13/10 | Anna Siskova WTA Rovereto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/10 | Alicia Dudeney WTA Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 03/10 | Leolia Jeanjean WTA Adana · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 02/10 | Teodora Kostovic WTA Adana · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 30/09 | Julia Riera WTA Adana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/09 | Vendula Valdmannova WTA Adana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Alina Charaeva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Marina Bassols Ribera WTA Courmayeur · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 28/10 | Gabriela Knutson WTA Courmayeur · Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 27/10 | Enola Chiesa WTA Courmayeur · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/10 | Anna Siskova W100 Wrexham |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 13/10 | Martyna Kubka WTA Rovereto · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Qinwen Zheng WTA Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 05/10 | Sonay Kartal WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/10 | Elena Rybakina WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 01/10 | Yulia Starodubtsewa WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 24/09 | Anna Bondar WTA Seoul · Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Antonia Ruzic vs Alina Charaeva?
Our model gives 56% to Alina Charaeva, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.