Tennis · WTA Hong Kong · 03/11, 03:00
Prediction: Xinyu Wang vs Adithya Karunaratne
Team pages: Xinyu Wang · Adithya Karunaratne
Prediction summary
Winner
Xinyu Wang
Adithya Karunaratne
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Xinyu Wang
4-6 (W-L)
Adithya Karunaratne
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Xinyu Wang 1462 · Adithya Karunaratne 1583
| Xinyu Wang | Adithya Karunaratne | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 67% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Adithya Karunaratne (rating 1462 vs 1583).
- Adithya Karunaratne is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Xinyu Wang | Adithya Karunaratne | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 100% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-10.9 | 12.7-9 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 65.5% | 64.1% |
| Break % | 31.6% | 47.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Xinyu Wang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Alycia Parks WTA Tokyo · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 12/10 | Xiyu Wang WTA Wuhan · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 03/10 | Sonay Kartal WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Tatiana Prozorova WTA Singapore · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 24/09 | Joanna Garland WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/09 | Donna Vekic WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/09 | Anna Kalinskaya US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 30/08 | Emiliana Arango US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/08 | Aryna Sabalenka WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Donna Vekic WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
Adithya Karunaratne
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Yanan Hou W15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 14/10 | Tiana Tian Deng W15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/09 | Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez W50 Leiria |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Urszula Radwanska W50 Leiria |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 30/08 | Kolie Allen W50 Leiria |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 02/08 | Rina Saigo W35 Aldershot |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 01/08 | Naiktha Bains W35 Aldershot |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 31/07 | Hannah Klugman W35 Aldershot |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 30/07 | Hiromi Abe W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/07 | Karla Popovic W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Xinyu Wang vs Adithya Karunaratne?
Our model gives 63% to Xinyu Wang, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.