Tennis · WTA Hong Kong · 03/11, 03:00
Prediction: Talia Gibson vs Oleksandra Oliynykova
Team pages: Talia Gibson · Oleksandra Oliynykova
Prediction summary
Winner
Talia Gibson
Oleksandra Oliynykova
Estimated games
19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Talia Gibson
6-4 (W-L)
Oleksandra Oliynykova
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Talia Gibson 1507 · Oleksandra Oliynykova 1464
| Talia Gibson | Oleksandra Oliynykova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Talia Gibson (rating 1507 vs 1464).
Statistics
| Talia Gibson | Oleksandra Oliynykova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 0.8-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-10.6 | 7.9-9.9 |
| Aces | 4.3 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 64.3% | 52% |
| Break % | 50% | 67.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Talia Gibson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Alexandra Eala WTA Tokyo · Hard |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 26/10 | Daria Kasatkina WTA Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 23/10 | Ashlyn Krueger WTA Osaka · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Sinja Kraus WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/10 | Harriet Dart WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 10/10 | Sara Sorribes Tormo WTA Wuhan · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 30/09 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/09 | Leylah Annie Fernandez WTA Singapore · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 25/09 | Maria Sakkari WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 24/09 | Viktoria Morvayova WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Oleksandra Oliynykova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Mai Hontama WTA Tokyo · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Mary Stoiana WTA Osaka · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Wushuang Zheng WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/09 | Yue Yuan WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Maja Chwalinska WTA Singapore · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Vivian Wolff WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/09 | Alexandra Eala US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Reese Brantmeier US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 26/08 | Diane Parry WTA Monterrey · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Mayar Sherif WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Talia Gibson vs Oleksandra Oliynykova?
Our model gives 71% to Talia Gibson, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.