Tennis · WTA Hong Kong · 03/11, 03:00
Prediction: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Boulter
Team pages: Viktorija Golubic · Katie Boulter
Prediction summary
Winner
Viktorija Golubic
Katie Boulter
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Viktorija Golubic
6-4 (W-L)
Katie Boulter
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Viktorija Golubic
2–3
Katie Boulter
(5 last)
- 21 Oct0-2 3-12L
- 04 Feb0-2 4-12L
- 21 Aug2-1 14-16W
- 09 Jun0-2 7-13L
- 05 Mar2-0 12-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Viktorija Golubic 1458 · Katie Boulter 1522
| Viktorija Golubic | Katie Boulter | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 40% | 60% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Katie Boulter (rating 1458 vs 1522).
- Head-to-head: Viktorija Golubic 2–3 Katie Boulter (5).
- Note: Katie Boulter makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Viktorija Golubic | Katie Boulter | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-11.7 | 9.1-9.8 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 5.4 |
| 1st serve % | 58.9% | 62% |
| Break % | 34.8% | 55.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
H2H · Viktorija Golubic 2 – 3 Katie Boulter (5)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Viktorija Golubic 2–3 Katie Boulter
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10/26 WTA Osaka | 0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/02/26 WTA Ostrava | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/08/25 WTA Cleveland | 2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 09/06/23 ITF W100 Surbiton | 0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 05/03/19 WTA Indian Wells | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Viktorija Golubic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Maya Joint WTA Tokyo · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 21/10 | Katie Boulter WTA Osaka · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 19/10 | Mai Hontama WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/10 | Daria Kasatkina WTA Wuhan · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 04/10 | Linda Noskova WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Peyton Stearns WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 30/09 | Elvina Kalieva WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 31/08 | Diane Parry US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/08 | Janice Tjen WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
| 14/08 | Alycia Parks WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Katie Boulter
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Katerina Siniakova WTA Osaka · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/10 | Antonia Ruzic WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 21/10 | Viktorija Golubic WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/10 | Himeno Sakatsume WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/10 | Diana Shnaider WTA Wuhan · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Karolina Muchova WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 30/09 | Mai Hontama WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/09 | Linda Noskova Billie Jean King Cup · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/09 | Karolina Muchova US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Carol Young Suh Lee US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Boulter?
Our model gives 60% to Katie Boulter, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.