Tennis · WTA Hong Kong · 03/11, 03:00
Prediction: Dayana Yastremska vs Zeynep Sonmez
Team pages: Dayana Yastremska · Zeynep Sonmez
Prediction summary
Winner
Dayana Yastremska
Zeynep Sonmez
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Dayana Yastremska
6-4 (W-L)
Zeynep Sonmez
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Dayana Yastremska
1–1
Zeynep Sonmez
(2 last)
- 15 Jun1-2 11-15L
- 11 Aug2-0 13-10W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dayana Yastremska 1523 · Zeynep Sonmez 1501
| Dayana Yastremska | Zeynep Sonmez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 53% | 47% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Dayana Yastremska makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Dayana Yastremska | Zeynep Sonmez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-11.5 | 11.4-10.7 |
| Aces | 3.2 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 5.2 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 61.3% | 61% |
| Break % | 38.9% | 59.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
H2H · Dayana Yastremska 1 – 1 Zeynep Sonmez (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dayana Yastremska 1–1 Zeynep Sonmez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/06/24 WTA Berlin | 1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 11/08/23 WTA Kozerki | 2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dayana Yastremska
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Han Shi WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/10 | Katie Volynets WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 15-17 | W |
| 25/10 | Emerson Jones WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/10 | Xiaodi You WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 17/10 | Kamilla Rakhimova WTA Ningbo · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Iva Jovic WTA Wuhan · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Cristina Bucsa WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 04/10 | Sinja Kraus WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Maja Chwalinska WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/09 | Caty McNally WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Zeynep Sonmez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Jil Teichmann WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 27/10 | Sara Sorribes Tormo WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 22/10 | Ann Li WTA Osaka · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Maya Joint WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 13/10 | Yulia Putintseva WTA Wuhan · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 11/10 | Sinja Kraus WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/10 | Anastasia Zakharova WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/09 | Maddison Inglis WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Iva Jovic WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/09 | Iryna Shymanovich WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dayana Yastremska vs Zeynep Sonmez?
Our model gives 53% to Dayana Yastremska, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.