Tennis · WTA Hong Kong · 03/11, 03:00
Prediction: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana
Team pages: Venus Williams · Mary Stoiana
Prediction summary
Winner
Venus Williams
Mary Stoiana
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Venus Williams
0-10 (W-L)
Mary Stoiana
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Venus Williams 1371 · Mary Stoiana 1545
| Venus Williams | Mary Stoiana | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 73% |
| Market | 16% | 84% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mary Stoiana (rating 1371 vs 1545).
- Mary Stoiana is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Venus Williams makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Venus Williams | Mary Stoiana | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 0% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (8) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.2-2 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.3-13.4 | 10.9-9.4 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 62% | 55.1% |
| Break % | 22.2% | 44.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Venus Williams
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Lilli Tagger WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Sofia Kenin US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/08 | Emiliana Arango WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Kamilla Rakhimova WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Anastasia Potapova WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Irina-Camelia Begu WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 21/04 | Kaitlin Quevedo WTA Madrid · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/03 | Francesca Jones WTA Miami · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 05/03 | Diane Parry WTA Indian Wells · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 24/02 | Ajla Tomljanovic WTA Austin · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Mary Stoiana
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Katerina Siniakova WTA Osaka · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Moyuka Uchijima WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 20/10 | Oleksandra Oliynykova WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/10 | Sayaka Ishii WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/10 | Rinko Matsuda WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/10 | Julieta Pareja W100 Templeton |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 01/10 | Hanna Chang W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/09 | Paula Badosa WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Dominika Salkova WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/09 | Claire Liu WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana?
Our model gives 79% to Mary Stoiana, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.