Tennis · WTA Hong Kong · 03/11, 03:00
Prediction: Sorana Cirstea vs Maria Timofeeva
Team pages: Sorana Cirstea · Maria Timofeeva
Prediction summary
Winner
Sorana Cirstea
Maria Timofeeva
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Sorana Cirstea
6-4 (W-L)
Maria Timofeeva
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sorana Cirstea 1497 · Maria Timofeeva 1558
| Sorana Cirstea | Maria Timofeeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maria Timofeeva (rating 1497 vs 1558).
Statistics
| Sorana Cirstea | Maria Timofeeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-10 | 12.6-8.8 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 67.2% | 65.2% |
| Break % | 43.6% | 61.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sorana Cirstea
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Maya Joint WTA Tokyo · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/10 | Sara Bejlek WTA Ningbo · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 19/10 | Han Shi WTA Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/10 | Hanyu Guo WTA Wuhan · Hard |
1-2 | 17-15 | L |
| 07/09 | Jessica Pegula US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Jasmine Paolini US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/09 | Diane Parry US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 31/08 | Julia Grabher US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/08 | Jessica Pegula WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 15/08 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Maria Timofeeva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Xinran Sun WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 26/10 | Teodora Kostovic WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/10 | Naomi Osaka WTA Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 30/09 | Darja Vidmanova WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/09 | Reese Brantmeier WTA Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/09 | Mia Pohankova WTA Porto · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 25/09 | Gabriela Knutson WTA Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/09 | Kajsa Rinaldo Persson WTA Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/09 | Sofia Johnson WTA Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/09 | Elise Mertens US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sorana Cirstea vs Maria Timofeeva?
Our model gives 58% to Sorana Cirstea, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.