Tennis · WTA Hong Kong · 01/11, 04:30
Prediction: Emerson Jones vs Alexandra Shubladze
Team pages: Emerson Jones · Alexandra Shubladze
Prediction summary
Winner
Emerson Jones
Alexandra Shubladze
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Emerson Jones
7-3 (W-L)
Alexandra Shubladze
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Emerson Jones
0–1
Alexandra Shubladze
(1 last)
- 03 Oct0-2 9-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Emerson Jones 1526 · Alexandra Shubladze 1572
| Emerson Jones | Alexandra Shubladze | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexandra Shubladze (rating 1526 vs 1572).
- Head-to-head: Emerson Jones 0–1 Alexandra Shubladze (1).
- Note: Alexandra Shubladze makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Emerson Jones | Alexandra Shubladze | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-9.9 | 12.8-8.6 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 64.3% | 62% |
| Break % | 50.8% | 53.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
H2H · Emerson Jones 0 – 1 Alexandra Shubladze (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Emerson Jones 0–1 Alexandra Shubladze
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10/26 WTA Jingshan | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Emerson Jones
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Heather Watson WTA Hong Kong · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/10 | Dayana Yastremska WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/10 | Hong Yi Cody Wong WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 20/10 | Ann Li WTA Osaka · Hard |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 17/10 | Heather Watson WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/10 | Zhuoxuan Bai WTA Suzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 06/10 | Mai Hontama WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/10 | Alexandra Shubladze WTA Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/10 | Kyoka Okamura WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 30/09 | Chenting Zhu WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Alexandra Shubladze
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Ying Zhang WTA Hong Kong · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/10 | Polina Iatcenko WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 04/10 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/10 | Emerson Jones WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/10 | Sijia Wei WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 30/09 | Jia-Jing Lu WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 29/09 | Rina Saigo WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/09 | Darya Astakhova WTA Seoul · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Gaeul Jang WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 17/09 | Kristiana Sidorova W35 Shenyang |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Emerson Jones vs Alexandra Shubladze?
Our model gives 55% to Alexandra Shubladze, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.