Tennis · M15 Heraklion · 31/10, 09:00

Prediction: Benjamin Pietri vs Alexander Chang

Team pages: Benjamin Pietri · Alexander Chang

Prediction summary
Winner
55% 45%
Benjamin Pietri Alexander Chang
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Benjamin Pietri 8-2 (W-L)
WLWWWWLWWW
Alexander Chang 6-4 (W-L)
LLWLWWWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Benjamin Pietri 1568 · Alexander Chang 1521
Benjamin PietriAlexander Chang
Our model57%43%
Market54%46%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Benjamin Pietri (rating 1568 vs 1521).

Statistics

Benjamin PietriAlexander Chang
Win %70%50%
Win % · Hard 75% (8) 100% (2)
Sets (G-P)1.6-0.61.3-1.1
Games (G-P)11.4-7.111.6-10.3
Aces1.24.1
Double faults3.51.5
1st serve %66.9%72.7%
Break %67.6%49.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Benjamin Pietri

WLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/10 Nikita Mashtakov
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
29/10 Javier Munoz Fuster
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
27/10 Tomas Curras Abasolo
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
23/10 Fons Van Sambeek
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
1-2 13-14 L
22/10 Michel Hopp
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
20/10 Andrea Fiorentini
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
08/10 Jordan Hasson
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
1-2 11-15 L
07/10 Barney Fitzpatrick
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
17/09 Alec Deckers
M25 Sintra
0-2 5-12 L
16/09 Francisco Rocha
M25 Sintra
2-0 13-6 W

Alexander Chang

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/10 Karl Friberg
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
2-0 13-10 W
27/10 Lieven Mietusch
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
20/10 Lorenzo Carboni
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
19/10 Tommaso Bardocci
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
13/10 Tommaso Compagnucci
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
1-2 13-16 L
12/10 Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
1-2 10-8 L
07/10 Rares Teodor Pieleanu
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
1-2 11-17 L
06/10 Filippo Alfano
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
13/09 Karan Singh
M15 Bali
0-2 11-14 L
12/09 Nathan Anthony Barki
M15 Bali
2-1 15-11 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Benjamin Pietri vs Alexander Chang?

Our model gives 55% to Benjamin Pietri, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.