Tennis · M15 Heraklion · 28/10, 08:00
Prediction: Alexander Chang vs Karl Friberg
Team pages: Alexander Chang · Karl Friberg
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexander Chang
Karl Friberg
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Alexander Chang
6-4 (W-L)
Karl Friberg
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexander Chang 1522 · Karl Friberg 1497
| Alexander Chang | Karl Friberg | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 51% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Alexander Chang | Karl Friberg | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (1) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-9.4 | 9.3-9.6 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 3 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 73.8% | 67.4% |
| Break % | 49.5% | 33.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexander Chang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Lieven Mietusch M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/10 | Lorenzo Carboni M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/10 | Tommaso Bardocci M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/10 | Tommaso Compagnucci M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 12/10 | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-8 | L |
| 07/10 | Rares Teodor Pieleanu M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 06/10 | Filippo Alfano M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 13/09 | Karan Singh M15 Bali |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 12/09 | Nathan Anthony Barki M15 Bali |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 11/09 | Pablo Perez Ramos M15 Bali |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Karl Friberg
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Oleg Prihodko M15 Rodez |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 24/09 | Henry Bernet M25 Falun |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/09 | William Rejchtman Vinciguerra M25 Falun |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 22/09 | Nikola Slavic M25 Falun |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/09 | Chun Hsin Tseng Davis Cup |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Samir Banerjee M25 Plaisir |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Alex Knaff M25 Plaisir |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/08 | Leo Borg M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Melvin Kumar M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-0 | W |
| 16/08 | John Hallquist Lithen M15 Malmo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexander Chang vs Karl Friberg?
Our model gives 52% to Alexander Chang, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.