Tennis · M15 Heraklion · 30/10, 10:30

Prediction: Nikita Mashtakov vs Benjamin Pietri

Team pages: Nikita Mashtakov · Benjamin Pietri

Prediction summary
Winner
55% 45%
Nikita Mashtakov Benjamin Pietri
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Nikita Mashtakov 7-3 (W-L)
WWLWWWLWLW
Benjamin Pietri 7-3 (W-L)
LWLWWWWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nikita Mashtakov 1606 · Benjamin Pietri 1541
Nikita MashtakovBenjamin Pietri
Our model59%41%
Market51%49%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nikita Mashtakov (rating 1606 vs 1541).
  • Nikita Mashtakov is in better form: 90% recent wins.

Statistics

Nikita MashtakovBenjamin Pietri
Win %90%60%
Win % · Hard 100% (1) 63% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.9-0.41.4-0.8
Games (G-P)13.6-9.210.9-7.7
Aces1.31.3
Double faults2.23.5
1st serve %65.1%67.3%
Break %59.5%64.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nikita Mashtakov

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/10 Jiri Cizek
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
17/10 Kristijan Juhas
M15 Bol · ~Clay
1-2 17-20 L
16/10 Noah Lopez
M15 Bol · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
15/10 Henry Best
M15 Bol · ~Clay
2-1 17-9 W
13/10 Aljaz Jeran
M15 Bol · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
04/10 Noah Lopez
M15 Sibenik
2-0 12-4 W
03/10 Charles Bertimon
M15 Sibenik
2-0 13-8 W
02/10 Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg
M15 Sibenik
2-1 16-18 W
01/10 Matthias Ujvary
M15 Sibenik
2-0 13-9 W
29/09 Jonas Gundacker
M15 Sibenik
2-0 12-6 W

Benjamin Pietri

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/10 Javier Munoz Fuster
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
27/10 Tomas Curras Abasolo
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
23/10 Fons Van Sambeek
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
1-2 13-14 L
22/10 Michel Hopp
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
20/10 Andrea Fiorentini
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
08/10 Jordan Hasson
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
1-2 11-15 L
07/10 Barney Fitzpatrick
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
17/09 Alec Deckers
M25 Sintra
0-2 5-12 L
16/09 Francisco Rocha
M25 Sintra
2-0 13-6 W
08/09 Mathys Erhard
Challenger Cassis · Hard
0-2 7-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nikita Mashtakov vs Benjamin Pietri?

Our model gives 55% to Nikita Mashtakov, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.