Tennis · M15 Heraklion · 28/10, 09:00
Prediction: Etienne Donnet vs Alexandre Aubriot
Team pages: Etienne Donnet · Alexandre Aubriot
Prediction summary
Winner
Etienne Donnet
Alexandre Aubriot
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Etienne Donnet
6-4 (W-L)
Alexandre Aubriot
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Etienne Donnet 1559 · Alexandre Aubriot 1486
| Etienne Donnet | Alexandre Aubriot | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Etienne Donnet (rating 1559 vs 1486).
- Note: Alexandre Aubriot makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Etienne Donnet | Alexandre Aubriot | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (8) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-11.4 | 9.7-8.6 |
| Aces | 5.6 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 71.2% | 70.5% |
| Break % | 40.6% | 41.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Etienne Donnet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Roanne · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 13/10 | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 12/10 | Patrick Brady Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/10 | Amir Omarkhanov Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 08/10 | Daniel Jade M15 Rodez |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Amaury Raynel M15 Rodez |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 27/09 | Paul Colin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 26/09 | Samuel Vincent Ruggeri M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-1 | 8-10 | L |
| 25/09 | Liam Branger M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 24/09 | Oluwaseun Peter Ogunsakin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Alexandre Aubriot
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Pavlos Tsitsipas M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Filip Krolo M15 Sibenik |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Marko Topo M25 Zlatibor |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/09 | George Lazarov M25 Zlatibor |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/09 | Nico Hipfl M25 Zlatibor |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/09 | Gilberto Ravasio M25 Zlatibor |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 09/09 | Adam Gabor Szoke M15 Budapest |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 05/09 | Dmitry Popko M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Stefano D'Agostino M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/09 | Egor Shcherbakov M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Etienne Donnet vs Alexandre Aubriot?
Our model gives 70% to Etienne Donnet, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.