Tennis · WTA Hong Kong · 31/10, 06:00
Prediction: Ying Zhang vs Alexandra Shubladze
Team pages: Ying Zhang · Alexandra Shubladze
Prediction summary
Winner
Ying Zhang
Alexandra Shubladze
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Ying Zhang
5-5 (W-L)
Alexandra Shubladze
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ying Zhang 1470 · Alexandra Shubladze 1562
| Ying Zhang | Alexandra Shubladze | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 6% | 94% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexandra Shubladze (rating 1470 vs 1562).
- Alexandra Shubladze is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Alexandra Shubladze makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Ying Zhang | Alexandra Shubladze | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-11.8 | 12.8-8.5 |
| Aces | 5 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 60.6% | 61.5% |
| Break % | 45.7% | 52.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ying Zhang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Jiaqi Wang WTA Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 16/09 | Sijia Wei W35 Shenyang |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 14/09 | Xi Luo W35 Shenyang |
2-1 | 11-8 | W |
| 13/09 | Guyu Xu W35 Shenyang |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/09 | Vaishnavi Adkar W50 Guiyang |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 06/09 | Priska Madelyn Nugroho W50 Guiyang |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 30/08 | Priska Madelyn Nugroho W75 Tianjin |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Zhibek Kulambayeva W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Daria Khomutsianskaya WTA Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 12/07 | Arina Arifullina WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Alexandra Shubladze
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Polina Iatcenko WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 04/10 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/10 | Emerson Jones WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/10 | Sijia Wei WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 30/09 | Jia-Jing Lu WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 29/09 | Rina Saigo WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/09 | Darya Astakhova WTA Seoul · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Gaeul Jang WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 17/09 | Kristiana Sidorova W35 Shenyang |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 16/09 | Meiling Wang W35 Shenyang |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ying Zhang vs Alexandra Shubladze?
Our model gives 80% to Alexandra Shubladze, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.