Tennis · WTA Hong Kong · 31/10, 04:30
Prediction: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Cheuk Ying Shek
Team pages: Aliaksandra Sasnovich · Cheuk Ying Shek
Prediction summary
Winner
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Cheuk Ying Shek
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
7-3 (W-L)
Cheuk Ying Shek
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aliaksandra Sasnovich 1560 · Cheuk Ying Shek 1436
| Aliaksandra Sasnovich | Cheuk Ying Shek | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 33% |
| Market | 91% | 9% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aliaksandra Sasnovich (rating 1560 vs 1436).
- Aliaksandra Sasnovich is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Aliaksandra Sasnovich | Cheuk Ying Shek | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-10 | 10.5-11.7 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 67.9% | 58.6% |
| Break % | 54.7% | 55.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Diana Shnaider WTA Tokyo · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 27/10 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Tokyo · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 25/10 | Kamilla Rakhimova WTA Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 24/10 | Yulia Starodubtsewa WTA Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/10 | Leylah Annie Fernandez WTA Ningbo · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 19/10 | Daria Kasatkina WTA Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/10 | Anna Bondar WTA Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 09/10 | Elvina Kalieva WTA Suzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Linda Fruhvirtova WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/10 | Xinxin Yao WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Cheuk Ying Shek
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Harriet Dart WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 21/10 | Chengyiyi Yuan W35 Qian Daohu |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew Asian Games |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/09 | Jia-Jing Lu W50 Nanao |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 15/09 | Sayaka Ishii W35 Kyoto |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Eva Marie Desvignes W15 Tianjin |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 12/08 | Meng Yi Chen W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/08 | Gaeul Jang W15 Tianjin |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 06/08 | Yushan Shao W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/08 | Meiling Wang W15 Tianjin |
1-0 | 6-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Cheuk Ying Shek?
Our model gives 80% to Aliaksandra Sasnovich, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.