Tennis · WTA Hong Kong · 31/10, 03:00
Prediction: Tatiana Prozorova vs Hayu Kinoshita
Team pages: Tatiana Prozorova · Hayu Kinoshita
Prediction summary
Winner
Tatiana Prozorova
Hayu Kinoshita
Estimated games
24
Recent form · 10 last
Tatiana Prozorova
3-7 (W-L)
Hayu Kinoshita
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tatiana Prozorova 1555 · Hayu Kinoshita 1433
| Tatiana Prozorova | Hayu Kinoshita | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 33% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tatiana Prozorova (rating 1555 vs 1433).
- Tatiana Prozorova is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Tatiana Prozorova | Hayu Kinoshita | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 25% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-1.3 | 0.7-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 15.8-13.7 | 10.4-11.6 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 69.4% | 59.4% |
| Break % | 44% | 48.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tatiana Prozorova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Harriet Dart WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 25/10 | Joanna Garland WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 24/10 | Ekaterine Gorgodze WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 18/10 | Kamilla Rakhimova WTA Ningbo · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 17/10 | Mayar Sherif WTA Ningbo · Hard |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 07/10 | Kyoka Okamura WTA Suzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 05/10 | Ruien Zhang WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 25/09 | Xinyu Wang WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 24/09 | Alexandra Eala WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 22/09 | Sofia Costoulas WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
Hayu Kinoshita
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Yulia Putintseva WTA Tokyo · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 28/09 | Jia-Jing Lu WTA Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Darja Semenistaja WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/09 | Cadence Brace WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 13/09 | Victoria Rodriguez WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 03/09 | Oceane Dodin W50 Leiria |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 01/09 | Rebecca Munk Mortensen W50 Leiria |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 25/08 | Darja Semenistaja US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Moyuka Uchijima WTA Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 28/07 | Kyoka Okamura WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tatiana Prozorova vs Hayu Kinoshita?
Our model gives 75% to Tatiana Prozorova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.