Tennis · W75 Toronto · 30/10, 14:00
Prediction: Katherine Sebov vs Madison Sieg
Team pages: Katherine Sebov · Madison Sieg
Prediction summary
Winner
Katherine Sebov
Madison Sieg
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Katherine Sebov
6-4 (W-L)
Madison Sieg
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Katherine Sebov 1476 · Madison Sieg 1525
| Katherine Sebov | Madison Sieg | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Madison Sieg (rating 1476 vs 1525).
- Note: Madison Sieg makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Katherine Sebov | Madison Sieg | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (5) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-9.9 | 11.2-10.4 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 55.4% | 55.5% |
| Break % | 52.6% | 57% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Katherine Sebov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Thara Gowda W75 Toronto |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/10 | Sakura Hosogi W75 Toronto |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/10 | Ariana Arseneault W75 Saguenay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Margaux Rouvroy W75 Saguenay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/10 | Francoise Abanda W50 Quebec City |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Margaux Rouvroy W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 29/09 | Alize Lim W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/09 | Gabriela Knutson WTA Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Julia Avdeeva US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Madison Sieg
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Sara Saito W75 Toronto |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 28/10 | Kisa Yoshioka W75 Toronto |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/10 | Carolina Kuhl W75 Saguenay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 20/10 | Valentina Ryser W75 Saguenay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 15/10 | Ariana Arseneault W50 Quebec City |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Jule Niemeier W50 Quebec City |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/10 | Astra Sharma W50 Lexington |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Irene Burillo Escorihuela WTA Valencia · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 14/09 | Ruth Roura Llaverias WTA Valencia · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/09 | Tena Lukas WTA Valencia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Katherine Sebov vs Madison Sieg?
Our model gives 54% to Katherine Sebov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.