Tennis · W75 Toronto · 29/10, 18:00
Prediction: Katherine Sebov vs Thara Gowda
Team pages: Katherine Sebov · Thara Gowda
Prediction summary
Winner
Katherine Sebov
Thara Gowda
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Katherine Sebov
5-5 (W-L)
Thara Gowda
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Katherine Sebov 1437 · Thara Gowda 1552
| Katherine Sebov | Thara Gowda | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Thara Gowda (rating 1437 vs 1552).
- Thara Gowda is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Thara Gowda makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Katherine Sebov | Thara Gowda | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 17% (6) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-10.9 | 12.4-9.6 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 1 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 54.1% | 65.2% |
| Break % | 51.9% | 46.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Katherine Sebov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Sakura Hosogi W75 Toronto |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/10 | Ariana Arseneault W75 Saguenay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Margaux Rouvroy W75 Saguenay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/10 | Francoise Abanda W50 Quebec City |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Margaux Rouvroy W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 29/09 | Alize Lim W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/09 | Gabriela Knutson WTA Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Julia Avdeeva US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Marta Kostyuk WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Thara Gowda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Anna Rogers W75 Toronto |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 26/10 | Noelle Dai W75 Toronto |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/10 | Sarah Barry W75 Toronto |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/10 | Carson Tanguilig W75 Saguenay |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Anna Tabunshchyk W75 Saguenay |
0-2 | 5-8 | L |
| 16/10 | Reese Brantmeier W50 Quebec City |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/10 | Francoise Abanda W50 Quebec City |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 14/10 | Jasmijn Gimbrere W50 Quebec City |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 12/10 | Sophia Xie W50 Quebec City |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 11/10 | Anastasia Malysheva W50 Quebec City |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Katherine Sebov vs Thara Gowda?
Our model gives 53% to Katherine Sebov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.