Tennis · W75 Toronto · 30/10, 14:00

Prediction: Carson Tanguilig vs Ayana Akli

Team pages: Carson Tanguilig · Ayana Akli

Prediction summary
Winner
39% 61%
Carson Tanguilig Ayana Akli
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Carson Tanguilig 3-7 (W-L)
LWLLLLWLLW
Ayana Akli 5-5 (W-L)
LLWWLLWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Carson Tanguilig 1557 · Ayana Akli 1534
Carson TanguiligAyana Akli
Our model53%47%
Market28%72%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Carson TanguiligAyana Akli
Win %70%60%
Win % · Hard 50% (2) 0% (2)
Sets (G-P)1.4-1.11.4-1.2
Games (G-P)12.3-9.713.3-11.8
Aces1.60.9
Double faults1.63.5
1st serve %64.4%65.1%
Break %56%41.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Carson Tanguilig

LWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/10 Kayla Cross
W75 Toronto
2-1 17-13 W
28/10 Jule Niemeier
W75 Toronto
2-1 18-10 W
26/10 Anna Tabunshchyk
W75 Toronto
2-1 16-12 W
25/10 Amy Lu
W75 Toronto
2-0 12-2 W
21/10 Linea Bajraliu
W75 Saguenay
0-2 9-13 L
19/10 Thara Gowda
W75 Saguenay
2-1 12-11 W
18/10 Ava Catanzarite
W75 Saguenay
2-1 14-11 W
29/09 Harmony Tan
W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
28/09 Michaela Bayerlova
W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard
2-0 12-1 W
20/09 Carolina Gomez
W50 Yecla
0-2 7-12 L

Ayana Akli

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/10 Hiromi Abe
W75 Toronto
2-1 16-11 W
27/10 Vivian Yang
W75 Toronto
2-1 16-11 W
23/10 Yuki Naito
W75 Saguenay
0-2 8-13 L
22/10 Emma Dong
W75 Saguenay
2-0 13-7 W
19/10 Kayla Cross
W75 Saguenay
2-1 18-11 W
16/10 Ariana Arseneault
W50 Quebec City
0-2 6-12 L
15/10 Hina Inoue
W50 Quebec City
2-0 12-6 W
13/10 Annabelle Xu
W50 Quebec City
2-1 18-13 W
30/09 Polona Hercog
W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard
1-2 11-17 L
23/09 Gabriela Knutson
WTA Porto · Hard
1-2 15-17 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Carson Tanguilig vs Ayana Akli?

Our model gives 61% to Ayana Akli, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.