Tennis · W75 Toronto · 29/10, 16:30

Prediction: Madison Sieg vs Sara Saito

Team pages: Madison Sieg · Sara Saito

Prediction summary
Winner
43% 57%
Madison Sieg Sara Saito
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Madison Sieg 5-5 (W-L)
LWWLLWLLWW
Sara Saito 5-5 (W-L)
WLLWWLWWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Madison Sieg 1502 · Sara Saito 1537
Madison SiegSara Saito
Our model45%55%
Market41%59%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Madison Sieg makes many double faults (4.2/match).
  • Note: Sara Saito makes many double faults (6.1/match).

Statistics

Madison SiegSara Saito
Win %50%60%
Win % · Clay 50% (4) –
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.11.4-1.2
Games (G-P)10.2-10.512.4-12.5
Aces1.20.9
Double faults4.26.1
1st serve %54.1%59.9%
Break %60%55.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Madison Sieg

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/10 Kisa Yoshioka
W75 Toronto
2-0 12-4 W
22/10 Carolina Kuhl
W75 Saguenay
1-2 11-15 L
20/10 Valentina Ryser
W75 Saguenay
2-1 16-16 W
15/10 Ariana Arseneault
W50 Quebec City
0-2 8-12 L
14/10 Jule Niemeier
W50 Quebec City
2-0 12-7 W
07/10 Astra Sharma
W50 Lexington
0-2 3-12 L
15/09 Irene Burillo Escorihuela
WTA Valencia · Clay
0-2 10-13 L
14/09 Ruth Roura Llaverias
WTA Valencia · Clay
2-0 13-7 W
13/09 Tena Lukas
WTA Valencia · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
07/09 Katerina Tsygourova
WTA Montreux · Clay
0-2 5-12 L

Sara Saito

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/10 Ariana Arseneault
W75 Toronto
2-1 17-15 W
24/10 Ariana Arseneault
W75 Saguenay
1-2 12-16 L
23/10 Linea Bajraliu
W75 Saguenay
2-1 14-11 W
21/10 Clervie Ngounoue
W75 Saguenay
2-0 13-9 W
16/10 Kajsa Rinaldo Persson
W50 Quebec City
1-2 13-16 L
15/10 Jamilah Snells
W50 Quebec City
2-1 15-13 W
13/10 Clemence Mercier
W50 Quebec City
2-1 15-13 W
28/09 Chenting Zhu
WTA Jingshan · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
20/09 Alevtina Ibragimova
WTA Seoul · Hard
0-2 7-13 L
19/09 En Shuo Liang
WTA Seoul · Hard
2-0 13-7 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Madison Sieg vs Sara Saito?

Our model gives 57% to Sara Saito, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.