Tennis · WTA Curitiba · 29/10, 15:00

Prediction: Gabriela Ce vs Solana Sierra

Team pages: Gabriela Ce · Solana Sierra

Prediction summary
Winner
48% 52%
Gabriela Ce Solana Sierra
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Gabriela Ce 6-4 (W-L)
LWWWWLLWLW
Solana Sierra 3-7 (W-L)
WLLLLLWLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gabriela Ce 1567 · Solana Sierra 1439
Gabriela CeSolana Sierra
Our model68%32%
Market31%69%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gabriela Ce (rating 1567 vs 1439).
  • Gabriela Ce is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Note: Gabriela Ce makes many double faults (4.1/match).
  • Note: Solana Sierra makes many double faults (7.9/match).

Statistics

Gabriela CeSolana Sierra
Win %70%30%
Win % · Hard 0% (1) 14% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.6-0.70.8-1.6
Games (G-P)11.9-8.49.3-12.3
Aces0.41.8
Double faults4.17.9
1st serve %61.9%57.8%
Break %65%37%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gabriela Ce

WLWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/10 Fernanda Labrana
WTA Curitiba · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
07/10 Katerina Tsygourova
W35 Seville
1-2 10-16 L
06/10 Marie Mettraux
W35 Seville
2-0 12-2 W
16/09 Eva Lys
WTA Sao Paulo · Hard
1-2 13-18 L
29/08 Pia Lovric
W35 Trieste
2-1 16-11 W
28/08 Valentina Steiner
W35 Trieste
2-0 12-7 W
27/08 Paula Ormaechea
W35 Trieste
2-0 12-5 W
26/08 Matilde Paoletti
W35 Trieste
2-0 13-6 W
24/08 Galatea Ferro
W35 Trieste
2-0 10-2 W
18/08 Katarina Zavatska
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L

Solana Sierra

LWLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
27/10 Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele
WTA Curitiba · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
23/09 Deniz Dilek
WTA Ankara · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
17/09 Suzan Lamens
WTA Sao Paulo · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
16/09 Cadence Brace
WTA Sao Paulo · Hard
2-1 15-11 W
31/08 Elina Svitolina
US Open Women · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
12/08 Aoi Ito
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
0-2 2-12 L
04/08 Sloane Stephens
WTA Toronto · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
28/07 Tatiana Prozorova
WTA Memphis · Hard
1-2 10-17 L
01/07 Coco Gauff
Wimbledon Women · Grass
1-2 15-16 L
29/06 Anna Bondar
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-1 18-15 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gabriela Ce vs Solana Sierra?

Our model gives 52% to Solana Sierra, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.