Tennis · WTA Curitiba · 29/10, 14:00
Prediction: Maria Lourdes Carle vs Julia Grabher
Team pages: Maria Lourdes Carle · Julia Grabher
Prediction summary
Winner
Maria Lourdes Carle
Julia Grabher
Estimated games
23.8
Recent form · 10 last
Maria Lourdes Carle
3-7 (W-L)
Julia Grabher
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maria Lourdes Carle 1507 · Julia Grabher 1583
| Maria Lourdes Carle | Julia Grabher | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Julia Grabher (rating 1507 vs 1583).
- Julia Grabher is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Maria Lourdes Carle makes many double faults (6.6/match).
- Note: Julia Grabher makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Maria Lourdes Carle | Julia Grabher | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (6) | 89% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.6-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-12.1 | 13.4-11.8 |
| Aces | 1 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 6.6 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 57.9% | 60.3% |
| Break % | 58.7% | 52.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maria Lourdes Carle
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Laura Pigossi WTA Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 13/10 | Kristina Liutova W100 Edmond |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Lucciana Perez Alarcon W50 Lexington |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Valeriya Strakhova W50 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/09 | Nuria Brancaccio WTA Tolentino · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 15/09 | Ekaterine Gorgodze WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 11/09 | Rositsa Dencheva WTA Antalya · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/09 | Eva Vedder WTA Antalya · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/09 | Gina Feistel WTA Antalya · Clay |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
| 04/09 | Federica Urgesi W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
Julia Grabher
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Carolina Alves WTA Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 16/10 | Ariana Geerlings WTA Mallorca · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/10 | Lidia Encheva WTA Mallorca · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 12/10 | Deborah Chiesa WTA Mallorca · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 05/10 | Dalma Galfi WTA Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/09 | Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales WTA Tolentino · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/09 | Oksana Selekhmeteva WTA Tolentino · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/09 | Nuria Brancaccio WTA Tolentino · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 24/09 | Alice Tubello WTA Tolentino · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 22/09 | Jennifer Ruggeri WTA Tolentino · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maria Lourdes Carle vs Julia Grabher?
Our model gives 62% to Julia Grabher, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.