Tennis · WTA Curitiba · 30/10, 16:00
Prediction: Julia Riera vs Solana Sierra
Team pages: Julia Riera · Solana Sierra
Prediction summary
Winner
Julia Riera
Solana Sierra
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Julia Riera
3-7 (W-L)
Solana Sierra
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Julia Riera
3–3
Solana Sierra
(6 last)
- 30 Apr2-1 16-14W
- 22 Apr2-1 13-11W
- 24 Feb1-2 14-16L
- 19 Jan0-2 5-12L
- 12 Jan2-1 15-16W
- 14 Oct0-2 7-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Julia Riera 1483 · Solana Sierra 1439
| Julia Riera | Solana Sierra | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 49% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Julia Riera (rating 1483 vs 1439).
- Note: Julia Riera makes many double faults (4.6/match).
- Note: Solana Sierra makes many double faults (7.5/match).
Statistics
| Julia Riera | Solana Sierra | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 38% (8) | 14% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 0.8-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-10.3 | 9.1-12.4 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 7.5 |
| 1st serve % | 63.8% | 57.9% |
| Break % | 50.8% | 36.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
H2H · Julia Riera 3 – 3 Solana Sierra (6)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Julia Riera 3–3 Solana Sierra
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/04/23 ITF W25 Guayaquil | 2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 22/04/23 ITF W25 Guayaquil | 2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 24/02/23 ITF W25 Tucuman | 1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 19/01/23 ITF W25 Buenos Aires | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/01/23 ITF W25 Buenos Aires | 2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 14/10/22 ITF W25 Tucuman | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Julia Riera
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Yasmine Kabbaj WTA Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/10 | Rebeka Masarova WTA Curitiba · Clay |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 30/09 | Antonia Ruzic WTA Adana · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Anna Siskova WTA Adana · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/09 | Elena Micic WTA Ankara · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Elina Avanesyan WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Anna Blinkova WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Mary Stoiana WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 09/09 | Dominika Salkova WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/08 | Viktoria Hruncakova US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Solana Sierra
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Gabriela Ce WTA Curitiba · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 27/10 | Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele WTA Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/09 | Deniz Dilek WTA Ankara · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Suzan Lamens WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Cadence Brace WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 31/08 | Elina Svitolina US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Aoi Ito WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Sloane Stephens WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Tatiana Prozorova WTA Memphis · Hard |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 01/07 | Coco Gauff Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Julia Riera vs Solana Sierra?
Our model gives 52% to Julia Riera, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.