Tennis · WTA Curitiba · 29/10, 17:00
Prediction: Francesca Jones vs Marjorie Souza
Team pages: Francesca Jones · Marjorie Souza
Prediction summary
Winner
Francesca Jones
Marjorie Souza
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Francesca Jones
5-5 (W-L)
Marjorie Souza
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francesca Jones 1540 · Marjorie Souza 1507
| Francesca Jones | Marjorie Souza | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 90% | 10% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Francesca Jones makes many double faults (4.3/match).
- Note: Marjorie Souza makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Francesca Jones | Marjorie Souza | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 63% (8) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-10.6 | 10.4-9.1 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 61.8% | 62.9% |
| Break % | 50.2% | 47.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francesca Jones
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Maria Florencia Urrutia WTA Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 16/10 | Dalma Galfi WTA Lisbon · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/10 | Francisca Jorge WTA Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/10 | Martina Colmegna WTA Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 16/09 | Mona Barthel WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Alja Senica WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 10/09 | Rositsa Dencheva WTA Antalya · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 08/09 | Raluca Georgiana Serban WTA Antalya · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/09 | Iva Jovic US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Magda Linette US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
Marjorie Souza
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Berta Bonardi WTA Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 23/10 | Maria Florencia Urrutia W15 Campina Grande |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Sabrina Dias W15 Campina Grande |
1-1 | 6-8 | L |
| 20/10 | Sophia Santos W15 Campina Grande |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 16/10 | Ana Sofia Sanchez W15 Maceio |
1-2 | 8-14 | L |
| 15/10 | Maria Jose Sanchez Uribe W15 Maceio |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 13/10 | Sophia Santos W15 Maceio |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/08 | Carolyn Ansari W35 Barueri |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/08 | Luiza Fullana W15 Campos do Jordao |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 20/08 | Nathalia Pontes Tourinho W15 Campos do Jordao |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francesca Jones vs Marjorie Souza?
Our model gives 74% to Francesca Jones, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.