Tennis · M15 Mazatlan · 27/10, 20:00
Prediction: Jack McGary vs Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado
Team pages: Jack McGary · Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado
Prediction summary
Winner
Jack McGary
Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Jack McGary
1-9 (W-L)
Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jack McGary 1428 · Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado 1481
| Jack McGary | Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado (rating 1428 vs 1481).
Statistics
| Jack McGary | Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 29% (7) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.4-1.7 | 0.9-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.3-11.7 | 9.2-10.7 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 57% | 62.7% |
| Break % | 23.1% | 45.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jack McGary
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Conor Brady M25 Nevers |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Paul Theate M25 Plaisir |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 31/08 | Ander Tarrio Ponte M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/07 | Elijah Strode M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 25/05 | Maksim Shin M15 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Alexandr Binda M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Ivan Zaytsev M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/05 | John Echeverria M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-11 | L |
| 12/05 | Evgeny Tyurnev M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 28/04 | Rodolfo Jauregui Sainz De Rozas M15 Villahermosa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Julio Cesar Porras M15 Pontevedra |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/09 | David Naharro M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Luis Garcia Paez M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
1-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Matt Kuhar M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Volodymyr Gurenko M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 23/07 | Mwendwa Mbithi M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Kether Naresh Gonzalez Gonzalez M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/05 | Maxwell McKennon M15 Villahermosa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/04 | Volodymyr Gurenko M15 Villahermosa · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/04 | Cesar Cruz M15 Villahermosa · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jack McGary vs Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado?
Our model gives 62% to Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.