Tennis · M15 Mazatlan · 29/10, 18:00
Prediction: Lucca Liu vs Ryan Colby
Team pages: Lucca Liu · Ryan Colby
Prediction summary
Winner
Lucca Liu
Ryan Colby
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Lucca Liu
7-3 (W-L)
Ryan Colby
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Lucca Liu
0–1
Ryan Colby
(1 last)
- 15 May0-2 8-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucca Liu 1506 · Ryan Colby 1474
| Lucca Liu | Ryan Colby | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Lucca Liu 0–1 Ryan Colby (1).
- Note: Ryan Colby makes many double faults (5.8/match).
Statistics
| Lucca Liu | Ryan Colby | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.8 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-8.2 | 10.7-11.8 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 5.8 |
| 1st serve % | 71.2% | 61.3% |
| Break % | 65.7% | 52.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
H2H · Lucca Liu 0 – 1 Ryan Colby (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lucca Liu 0–1 Ryan Colby
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/05/26 M25 Pensacola | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucca Liu
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Stefan Cooper M15 Mazatlan |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/10 | Tuncay Duran M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 06/10 | Sebastian Heinrich M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/09 | Tuncay Duran M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Ergi Kirkin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-8 | L |
| 16/09 | Mathieu Scaglia M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/09 | Tim Loosen M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/09 | Oscar Brown M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 10/09 | Josh Manuel M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/09 | Mahmoud Chetouane M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Ryan Colby
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Shunsuke Mitsui Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Vasco Leote Prata M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/09 | Finn Murgett M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Joao Mendes M25 Sintra |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 27/08 | Jakub Vrba M15 Champaign |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 25/08 | Nikola Djosic M15 Champaign |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 03/08 | Spencer Johnson Challenger Lexington · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 02/08 | Dhakshineswar Suresh Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 15/07 | Alexander Frusina M25 Louisville |
0-1 | 3-7 | L |
| 07/07 | Yuta Shimizu M25 Laval |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucca Liu vs Ryan Colby?
Our model gives 53% to Ryan Colby, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.