Tennis · M15 Mazatlan · 27/10, 17:00
Prediction: Rodrigo Alujas vs Marco Alvarez
Team pages: Rodrigo Alujas · Marco Alvarez
Prediction summary
Winner
Rodrigo Alujas
Marco Alvarez
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Rodrigo Alujas
4-6 (W-L)
Marco Alvarez
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rodrigo Alujas 1469 · Marco Alvarez 1516
| Rodrigo Alujas | Marco Alvarez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marco Alvarez (rating 1469 vs 1516).
Statistics
| Rodrigo Alujas | Marco Alvarez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9-10.6 | 9.1-9.5 |
| Aces | 1 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 62.4% | 56.4% |
| Break % | 43% | 40.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rodrigo Alujas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Petros Tsitsipas M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Max Houkes M25 Kigali |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Calvin Hemery M25 Kigali |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Mehluli Don Ayanda Sibanda M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/08 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Martin Antonio Vergara del Puerto M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/08 | Nicolas Garcia Longo M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/08 | Federico Aguilar Cardozo M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 30/07 | Alvin Nicholas Tudorica M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-17 | L |
| 28/07 | Preston Brown M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Marco Alvarez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Gianluca Brunkow UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Jacob Brumm UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 20/09 | Matei Gavrea UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Antreas Djakouris UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 19/09 | Constantinos Djakouris UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Mihnea Maftei UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/09 | Brayden Tallakson UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/09 | Victor Castro UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/08 | Ivan Savkin UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/08 | Antreas Djakouris UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rodrigo Alujas vs Marco Alvarez?
Our model gives 58% to Rodrigo Alujas, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.