Tennis · M15 Mazatlan · 27/10, 17:00
Prediction: Alan Sau Franco vs Jesse Flores
Team pages: Jesse Flores
Prediction summary
Winner
Alan Sau Franco
Jesse Flores
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Alan Sau Franco
1-9 (W-L)
Jesse Flores
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alan Sau Franco 1380 · Jesse Flores 1482
| Alan Sau Franco | Jesse Flores | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 17% | 83% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jesse Flores (rating 1380 vs 1482).
- Jesse Flores is in better form: 40% recent wins.
Statistics
| Alan Sau Franco | Jesse Flores | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 0% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (7) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.3-2 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.1-12.1 | 10.6-11.9 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 6.3 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 57.5% | 74.3% |
| Break % | 33.6% | 26.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alan Sau Franco
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Benjamin Thomas George M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Miguel Semedo M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Rethin Pranav Senthil Kumar M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Kemal Arda Karakas M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 03/06 | Romain Faucon M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 28/04 | Drew Van Orderlain M15 Villahermosa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-7 | L |
| 24/04 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez M25 Xalapa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 29/03 | Tibo Colson Challenger San Luis Potosi · Clay |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 22/03 | Facundo Mena Challenger Morelia · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/03 | Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros Challenger Morelos · Hard |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
Jesse Flores
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Franco Ribero Challenger Cali · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Alexandr Binda M25 Yinchuan |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 24/09 | Reiya Komagata M25 Yinchuan |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/09 | Naoya Honda Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 26/08 | Oliver Okonkwo M15 Champaign |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Karl Poling M25 East Lansing |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 09/05 | Alec Beckley M15 Mbombela · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 08/05 | Marc Van Der Merwe M15 Mbombela · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/05 | Jordan Hasson M15 Mbombela · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alan Sau Franco vs Jesse Flores?
Our model gives 75% to Jesse Flores, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.