Tennis · M25 Tamworth · 28/10, 00:00
Prediction: Nikolas Baker vs Harrison Satara
Team pages: Nikolas Baker · Harrison Satara
Prediction summary
Winner
Nikolas Baker
Harrison Satara
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Nikolas Baker
6-4 (W-L)
Harrison Satara
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nikolas Baker 1536 · Harrison Satara 1504
| Nikolas Baker | Harrison Satara | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Nikolas Baker | Harrison Satara | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 71% (7) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.8 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-9.4 | 10.8-10.3 |
| Aces | 4 | 5.2 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 65.7% | 76.3% |
| Break % | 73.7% | 51.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nikolas Baker
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Oliver Clark Anderson M25 Tamworth |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Stefan Vujic M25 Darwin |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 06/10 | Alec Braund M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/06 | Oliver King UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/06 | Brendan Loh UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/06 | Luka Vujacic UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/06 | Casey Ambler UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 02/06 | Valentino De Pellegrin UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Jeremy Beale UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 31/05 | Valentino De Pellegrin UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Harrison Satara
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Sam Ryan Ziegann M25 Tamworth |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 20/10 | Heaton Pann M25 Tamworth |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/10 | Jake Delaney M25 Darwin |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Hayden Jones M25 Darwin |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Alec Braund M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/09 | Maksim Shin M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 04/09 | Geun Jun Kim M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Xiaoyin Yang M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 02/09 | Fitriadi M Rifqi M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/09 | Kazuki Nakajima M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nikolas Baker vs Harrison Satara?
Our model gives 52% to Nikolas Baker, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.