Tennis · M25 Tamworth · 28/10, 01:30
Prediction: Lachlan Vickery vs Reece Falck
Team pages: Lachlan Vickery · Reece Falck
Prediction summary
Winner
Lachlan Vickery
Reece Falck
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Lachlan Vickery
6-4 (W-L)
Reece Falck
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lachlan Vickery 1504 · Reece Falck 1448
| Lachlan Vickery | Reece Falck | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lachlan Vickery (rating 1504 vs 1448).
Statistics
| Lachlan Vickery | Reece Falck | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-10.5 | 9.7-10.9 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 5.3 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 66% | 70.2% |
| Break % | 53.1% | 40.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lachlan Vickery
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Samarth Patel M25 Tamworth |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/10 | Colin Sinclair M25 Darwin |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 01/10 | Jake Delaney M25 Darwin |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/09 | Jack Bruce-Smith M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 29/09 | Harry Roberts M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/09 | Qian Sun M25 Guiyang |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 09/09 | Geun Jun Kim M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Jilong Huang M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/09 | Hiromasa Koyama M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Hao-Yu Lin M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
Reece Falck
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Anton Shepp M25 Tamworth |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Ethan Cook M25 Darwin |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 01/10 | Herman Hoeyeraal M25 Darwin |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Luca Connaughton M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 08/09 | Alexander Chang M15 Bali |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 01/09 | Blake Ellis M15 Bali |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Benjamin Willwerth M15 Rochester |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Emon Van Loben Sels M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Alejandro Hayen M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Alexander Guajardo M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lachlan Vickery vs Reece Falck?
Our model gives 54% to Reece Falck, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.