Tennis · W35 Sydney · 28/10, 03:00
Prediction: Belle Thompson vs Sera Nishimoto
Team pages: Belle Thompson · Sera Nishimoto
Prediction summary
Winner
Belle Thompson
Sera Nishimoto
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Belle Thompson
6-4 (W-L)
Sera Nishimoto
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Belle Thompson 1577 · Sera Nishimoto 1464
| Belle Thompson | Sera Nishimoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Belle Thompson (rating 1577 vs 1464).
- Belle Thompson is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Belle Thompson | Sera Nishimoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 86% (7) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.8 | 0.9-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-7.7 | 8.1-10.5 |
| Aces | 0 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 62.8% | 53% |
| Break % | 56.8% | 38.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Belle Thompson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | I Wen Wan W35 Sydney |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Yuno Kitahara W35 Wagga Wagga |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Ashleigh Simes W35 Wagga Wagga |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/09 | I Wen Wan UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Lily Fannin UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/09 | Laquisa Khan UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 16/09 | Sarah Munroe UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/09 | Piper Freeman UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/09 | Laquisa Khan UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/09 | Christina Dodaj UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Sera Nishimoto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Maiko Uchijima W35 Sydney |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/10 | Vaidehee Chaudhari W35 Sydney |
1-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/10 | Amy Stevens W35 Sydney |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 20/10 | Maiko Uchijima W35 Sydney |
2-1 | 9-11 | W |
| 06/10 | Rira Kosaka W35 Wagga Wagga |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Tiana Tian Deng W50 Nanao |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 15/09 | Hee Rae Im W35 Kyoto |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Shihomi Li Xuan Leong W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 0-9 | L |
| 11/08 | Onyu Choi W15 Tianjin |
1-2 | 10-10 | L |
| 05/08 | Meiqi Guo W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Belle Thompson vs Sera Nishimoto?
Our model gives 65% to Belle Thompson, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.