Tennis · M25 Tamworth · 28/10, 01:30
Prediction: Casey Hoole vs Herman Hoeyeraal
Team pages: Casey Hoole · Herman Hoeyeraal
Prediction summary
Winner
Casey Hoole
Herman Hoeyeraal
Estimated games
24
Recent form · 10 last
Casey Hoole
9-1 (W-L)
Herman Hoeyeraal
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Casey Hoole
1–0
Herman Hoeyeraal
(1 last)
- 03 Oct2-1 16-13W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Casey Hoole 1633 · Herman Hoeyeraal 1519
| Casey Hoole | Herman Hoeyeraal | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Casey Hoole (rating 1633 vs 1519).
- Casey Hoole dominates on serve: 8.2 aces and 46% break avg.
- Herman Hoeyeraal dominates on serve: 9.1 aces and 46.3% break avg.
- Casey Hoole is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Casey Hoole 1–0 Herman Hoeyeraal (1).
- Note: Herman Hoeyeraal makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Casey Hoole | Herman Hoeyeraal | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.6 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.4-11.4 | 12.3-11.5 |
| Aces | 8.2 | 9.1 |
| Double faults | 1.1 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 75.5% | 76.6% |
| Break % | 46% | 46.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24
H2H · Casey Hoole 1 – 0 Herman Hoeyeraal (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Casey Hoole 1–0 Herman Hoeyeraal
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10/26 M25 Darwin | 2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Casey Hoole
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Isaac Becroft M25 Tamworth |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 23/10 | Philip Sekulic M25 Tamworth |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/10 | Li Tu M25 Tamworth |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 21/10 | Nick Beamish M25 Tamworth |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 11/10 | Stefan Vujic M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 10/10 | Zane Stevens M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 09/10 | Moerani Bouzige M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 08/10 | Tai Leonard Sach M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/10 | Jack Bruce-Smith M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/10 | Hayden Jones M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Herman Hoeyeraal
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Blake Ellis M25 Tamworth |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Moerani Bouzige M25 Tamworth |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/10 | Archie Stewart M25 Tamworth |
2-0 | 11-2 | W |
| 07/10 | Chen Dong M25 Darwin |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 03/10 | Casey Hoole M25 Darwin |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 02/10 | Philip Sekulic M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 01/10 | Reece Falck M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/09 | Ethan Cook M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 26/08 | Filip Drab M15 Pecs |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 20/08 | Jonathan Mridha M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Casey Hoole vs Herman Hoeyeraal?
Our model gives 64% to Casey Hoole, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.