Tennis · M25 Tamworth · 28/10, 04:30
Prediction: Derek Pham vs Jeremy Beale
Team pages: Derek Pham · Jeremy Beale
Prediction summary
Winner
Derek Pham
Jeremy Beale
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Derek Pham
6-4 (W-L)
Jeremy Beale
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Derek Pham
2–0
Jeremy Beale
(2 last)
- 01 Oct2-1 16-8W
- 26 Feb2-0 11-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Derek Pham 1554 · Jeremy Beale 1554
| Derek Pham | Jeremy Beale | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Derek Pham dominates on serve: 7.4 aces and 40.8% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Derek Pham 2–0 Jeremy Beale (2).
Statistics
| Derek Pham | Jeremy Beale | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-10.7 | 11.6-10.1 |
| Aces | 7.4 | 5.4 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 76.6% | 72% |
| Break % | 40.8% | 50.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
H2H · Derek Pham 2 – 0 Jeremy Beale (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Derek Pham 2–0 Jeremy Beale
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10/26 M25 Darwin | 2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 26/02/21 UTR Pro Tennis Series Brisbane | 2-0 | 11-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Derek Pham
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Stefan Vujic M25 Tamworth |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/10 | Ethan Cook M25 Tamworth |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/10 | Zane Stevens M25 Darwin |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 07/10 | Scott Jones M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/10 | Hayden Jones M25 Darwin |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/10 | Jake Delaney M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 01/10 | Jeremy Beale M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 30/09 | Joshua Charlton M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 29/09 | Ashwin Ryan Sharma M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/08 | Scott Jones UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
Jeremy Beale
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Jerome Estephan M25 Tamworth |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 21/10 | Enzo Aguiard M25 Tamworth |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 20/10 | Luca Connaughton M25 Tamworth |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/10 | Derek Pham M25 Darwin |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 30/09 | Tai Leonard Sach M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 29/09 | David Qariaqus M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/09 | Arjun Mehrotra UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/09 | Haruto Ishikawa UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/09 | Scott Jones UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/09 | Oscar Andrews UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Derek Pham vs Jeremy Beale?
Our model gives 53% to Derek Pham, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.