Tennis · M25 Tamworth · 28/10, 03:00

Prediction: Hayden Jones vs Moerani Bouzige

Team pages: Hayden Jones · Moerani Bouzige

Prediction summary
Winner
59% 41%
Hayden Jones Moerani Bouzige
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Hayden Jones 8-2 (W-L)
WWWWWWLWWL
Moerani Bouzige 4-6 (W-L)
LWLLWWLLWL
Head-to-head
Hayden Jones 0–2 Moerani Bouzige (2 last)
  • 01 Jun1-2 12-16L
  • 21 Mar1-2 14-19L
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hayden Jones 1581 · Moerani Bouzige 1503
Hayden JonesMoerani Bouzige
Our model61%39%
Market58%42%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hayden Jones (rating 1581 vs 1503).
  • Hayden Jones is in better form: 80% recent wins.
  • Head-to-head: Hayden Jones 0–2 Moerani Bouzige (2).

Statistics

Hayden JonesMoerani Bouzige
Win %80%50%
Win % · Hard – 50% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.6-0.41.2-1.2
Games (G-P)12.1-7.712.3-12
Aces4.17.1
Double faults1.23.3
1st serve %78.1%76.7%
Break %40.2%32.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.8

H2H · Hayden Jones 0 – 2 Moerani Bouzige (2)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Hayden Jones 0–2 Moerani Bouzige

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DateSetsGamesRes.
01/06/25
Challenger Tyler
1-212-16L
21/03/23
ITF M25 Canberra
1-214-19L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hayden Jones

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/10 Stefan Vujic
M25 Darwin
0-2 9-13 L
08/10 Colin Sinclair
M25 Darwin
2-0 14-12 W
07/10 Makoto Ochi
M25 Darwin
2-0 12-6 W
04/10 Casey Hoole
M25 Darwin
0-2 11-14 L
03/10 Derek Pham
M25 Darwin
2-0 13-8 W
02/10 Scott Jones
M25 Darwin
2-0 12-3 W
01/10 Arjun Mehrotra
M25 Darwin
2-0 12-0 W
30/09 Harrison Satara
M25 Darwin
2-0 12-8 W
10/09 Fitriadi M Rifqi
M15 Bali
2-0 14-11 W
08/09 Raghav Jaisinghani
M15 Bali
2-0 12-2 W

Moerani Bouzige

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/10 Herman Hoeyeraal
M25 Tamworth
0-2 7-12 L
21/10 Zak Talic
M25 Tamworth
2-0 13-9 W
09/10 Casey Hoole
M25 Darwin
1-2 15-16 L
08/10 Jesse Delaney
M25 Darwin
2-1 16-14 W
07/10 Stefan Storch
M25 Darwin
2-0 12-3 W
29/09 Casey Hoole
M25 Darwin
1-2 15-18 L
14/09 Kenta Miyoshi
Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard
0-2 8-12 L
06/09 Arthur Weber
M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard
0-2 11-14 L
05/09 Florent Bax
M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard
2-0 11-9 W
03/09 Markus Malaszszak
M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard
2-1 15-13 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hayden Jones vs Moerani Bouzige?

Our model gives 59% to Hayden Jones, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.