Tennis · WTA Curitiba · 28/10, 15:00
Prediction: Lourdes Ayala vs Jazmin Ortenzi
Team pages: Lourdes Ayala · Jazmin Ortenzi
Prediction summary
Winner
Lourdes Ayala
Jazmin Ortenzi
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Lourdes Ayala
5-5 (W-L)
Jazmin Ortenzi
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Lourdes Ayala
0–1
Jazmin Ortenzi
(1 last)
- 19 May0-2 4-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lourdes Ayala 1556 · Jazmin Ortenzi 1518
| Lourdes Ayala | Jazmin Ortenzi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 8% | 92% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Lourdes Ayala 0–1 Jazmin Ortenzi (1).
- Note: Lourdes Ayala makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Lourdes Ayala | Jazmin Ortenzi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (2) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-9.5 | 10.5-10.6 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 54.7% | 57.2% |
| Break % | 56.4% | 53.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
H2H · Lourdes Ayala 0 – 1 Jazmin Ortenzi (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lourdes Ayala 0–1 Jazmin Ortenzi
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/05/23 ITF W15 Curitiba | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lourdes Ayala
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Luiza Fullana WTA Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/10 | Georgia Gulin WTA Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/10 | Fernanda Labrana W15 Campina Grande |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Bianca M B Bia Bernardes W15 Campina Grande |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 14/10 | Ana Sofia Sanchez W15 Maceio |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Ana Sofia Sanchez W15 Trelew |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Diva Bhatia W15 Trelew |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/09 | Agustina Daniela Duarte W15 Trelew |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/09 | Sofia Elena Cabezas Dominguez W15 Pilar |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/09 | Luna Maria Cinalli W15 Pilar |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Jazmin Ortenzi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Victoria Bosio WTA Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/10 | Polona Hercog WTA Lisbon · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 12/10 | Barbora Palicova WTA Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 09/10 | Ane Mintegi Del Olmo W50 Burgas |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 08/10 | Ilinca D Amariei W50 Burgas |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 07/10 | Laura Mair W50 Burgas |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/09 | Paula Badosa WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 16/09 | Chloe Paquet WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/09 | Mary Stoiana WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Himeno Sakatsume US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lourdes Ayala vs Jazmin Ortenzi?
Our model gives 70% to Jazmin Ortenzi, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.