Tennis · W75 Toronto · 28/10, 15:00
Prediction: Jasmijn Gimbrere vs Clervie Ngounoue
Team pages: Jasmijn Gimbrere · Clervie Ngounoue
Prediction summary
Winner
Jasmijn Gimbrere
Clervie Ngounoue
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Jasmijn Gimbrere
2-8 (W-L)
Clervie Ngounoue
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jasmijn Gimbrere 1415 · Clervie Ngounoue 1533
| Jasmijn Gimbrere | Clervie Ngounoue | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Clervie Ngounoue (rating 1415 vs 1533).
- Clervie Ngounoue is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Jasmijn Gimbrere makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Jasmijn Gimbrere | Clervie Ngounoue | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.7 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8-12.9 | 10.9-9.5 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 5 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 52.3% | 65.1% |
| Break % | 43.1% | 54.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jasmijn Gimbrere
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Andrea Cabio W75 Saguenay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/10 | Thara Gowda W50 Quebec City |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 30/09 | Lisa Pigato W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Paula Cembranos W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/09 | Reese Brantmeier WTA Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Manon Arcangioli W75 Le Neubourg |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Sohyun Park W50 Hamburg |
1-2 | 9-17 | L |
| 12/08 | Alba Rey Garcia W50 Hamburg |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 02/08 | Laima Vladson W75 Leipzig |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Georgina Groth W75 Hechingen |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Clervie Ngounoue
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Annabelle Xu W75 Toronto |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 25/10 | Sophie Dement W75 Toronto |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 21/10 | Sara Saito W75 Saguenay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/10 | Michaela Bayerlova W75 Saguenay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/10 | Luisa Hrda W75 Saguenay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/08 | Carson Branstine US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 05/08 | Yexin Ma W100 Landisville |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Reina Goto W100 Landisville |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 03/08 | Olivia Lincer W100 Landisville |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/07 | Varvara Lepchenko WTA Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jasmijn Gimbrere vs Clervie Ngounoue?
Our model gives 78% to Clervie Ngounoue, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.