Tennis · W75 Toronto · 27/10, 18:00
Prediction: Katherine Sebov vs Sakura Hosogi
Team pages: Katherine Sebov · Sakura Hosogi
Prediction summary
Winner
Katherine Sebov
Sakura Hosogi
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Katherine Sebov
5-5 (W-L)
Sakura Hosogi
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Katherine Sebov 1439 · Sakura Hosogi 1516
| Katherine Sebov | Sakura Hosogi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sakura Hosogi (rating 1439 vs 1516).
Statistics
| Katherine Sebov | Sakura Hosogi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 29% (7) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-10.9 | 11.3-13.3 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 1 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 54.2% | 56.7% |
| Break % | 51.3% | 27.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Katherine Sebov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Ariana Arseneault W75 Saguenay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Margaux Rouvroy W75 Saguenay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/10 | Francoise Abanda W50 Quebec City |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Margaux Rouvroy W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 29/09 | Alize Lim W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/09 | Gabriela Knutson WTA Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Julia Avdeeva US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Marta Kostyuk WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 02/08 | Aoi Ito WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Sakura Hosogi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Reese Brantmeier W75 Saguenay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Hina Inoue W75 Saguenay |
2-1 | 15-18 | W |
| 27/09 | Hiromi Abe W50 Nanao |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/09 | Michika Ozeki W50 Nanao |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/09 | Hikaru Sato W50 Nanao |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 24/09 | Rinko Matsuda W50 Nanao |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 22/09 | Natsuki Yoshimoto W50 Nanao |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 15/09 | Ena Shibahara W35 Kyoto |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Anna Kubareva W50 Guiyang |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Rinko Matsuda W75 Tianjin |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Katherine Sebov vs Sakura Hosogi?
Our model gives 55% to Katherine Sebov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.