Tennis · W75 Toronto · 28/10, 15:00
Prediction: Carson Tanguilig vs Jule Niemeier
Team pages: Carson Tanguilig · Jule Niemeier
Prediction summary
Winner
Carson Tanguilig
Jule Niemeier
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Carson Tanguilig
3-7 (W-L)
Jule Niemeier
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Carson Tanguilig 1547 · Jule Niemeier 1462
| Carson Tanguilig | Jule Niemeier | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Carson Tanguilig (rating 1547 vs 1462).
- Note: Jule Niemeier makes many double faults (10.2/match).
Statistics
| Carson Tanguilig | Jule Niemeier | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-10 | 10.4-10.5 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 10.2 |
| 1st serve % | 63.4% | 62.4% |
| Break % | 49.4% | 45.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Carson Tanguilig
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Anna Tabunshchyk W75 Toronto |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 25/10 | Amy Lu W75 Toronto |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 21/10 | Linea Bajraliu W75 Saguenay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/10 | Thara Gowda W75 Saguenay |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 18/10 | Ava Catanzarite W75 Saguenay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 29/09 | Harmony Tan W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Michaela Bayerlova W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 20/09 | Carolina Gomez W50 Yecla |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Martyna Kubka W75 Le Neubourg |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 16/09 | Amandine Hesse W75 Le Neubourg |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Jule Niemeier
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Nadia Lagaev W75 Saguenay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 14/10 | Madison Sieg W50 Quebec City |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Loes Ebeling Koning W50 Plovdiv |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Lia Karatancheva W50 Plovdiv |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/09 | Lia Karatancheva W50 Pazardzhik |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 06/09 | Lucija Ciric Bagaric WTA Montreux · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Tessa Johanna Brockmann W50 Oldenzaal |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Irina Balus W50 Knokke-Heist |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 01/08 | Sarah Van Emst W50 Knokke-Heist |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 31/07 | Daria Yesypchuk W50 Knokke-Heist |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Carson Tanguilig vs Jule Niemeier?
Our model gives 52% to Carson Tanguilig, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.