Tennis · M15 Joao Pessoa · 28/10, 14:00

Prediction: Andre Souza vs Pedro Sakamoto

Team pages: Andre Souza · Pedro Sakamoto

Prediction summary
Winner
19% 81%
Andre Souza Pedro Sakamoto
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Andre Souza 5-5 (W-L)
WLLLWWWLLW
Pedro Sakamoto 8-2 (W-L)
WWWWLWWWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Andre Souza 1504 · Pedro Sakamoto 1610
Andre SouzaPedro Sakamoto
Our model35%65%
Market6%94%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pedro Sakamoto (rating 1504 vs 1610).
  • Pedro Sakamoto is in better form: 90% recent wins.

Statistics

Andre SouzaPedro Sakamoto
Win %50%90%
Win % · Clay 0% (1) 80% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.11.8-0.4
Games (G-P)8.7-8.712.9-8.4
Aces2.83.7
Double faults1.81
1st serve %64.3%76.3%
Break %57.1%44.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Andre Souza

WWLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/10 Kaue Noatto
M15 Joao Pessoa
2-0 9-3 W
19/10 Enzo Lima
M15 Maceio
0-2 4-12 L
17/09 Gabriel Schenekenberg
M15 Belem
0-2 9-13 L
15/09 Jackson Pereira Xavier
M15 Belem
2-0 12-2 W
08/09 Gabriel Augusto Carvalho
M15 Leme
2-0 12-4 W
07/09 Bruno Vieira Alves Malacarne Bruno
M15 Leme
2-1 11-9 W
03/09 Joao Eduardo Schiessl
M15 Porto Velho
1-2 11-13 L
10/08 Federico Aguilar Cardozo
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
04/08 Nicolas Oliveira
M25 Londrina
0-2 1-12 L
03/08 Kaua Emanuel Pereira Dos Santos
M25 Londrina
2-0 13-7 W

Pedro Sakamoto

WWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
25/10 Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
M15 Maceio
2-1 16-13 W
24/10 Lorenzo Gagliardo
M15 Maceio
2-0 12-4 W
23/10 Dante Pagani
M15 Maceio
2-0 12-3 W
22/10 Bautista De La Pena
M15 Maceio
2-0 13-6 W
21/10 Valentin Basel
M15 Maceio
2-0 13-8 W
18/10 Joao Eduardo Schiessl
M15 Maringa · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
17/10 Hernando Jose Escurra Isnardi
M15 Maringa · ~Clay
2-1 18-11 W
16/10 Nicolas Bruna
M15 Maringa · ~Clay
2-0 12-8 W
15/10 Pedro Dietrich
M15 Maringa · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
14/10 Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
M15 Maringa · ~Clay
2-0 14-12 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Andre Souza vs Pedro Sakamoto?

Our model gives 81% to Pedro Sakamoto, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.