Tennis · M15 Joao Pessoa · 30/10, 14:00
Prediction: Joao Victor Couto Loureiro vs Pedro Sakamoto
Team pages: Joao Victor Couto Loureiro · Pedro Sakamoto
Prediction summary
Winner
Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
Pedro Sakamoto
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
6-4 (W-L)
Pedro Sakamoto
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
0–4
Pedro Sakamoto
(4 last)
- 25 Oct1-2 13-16L
- 14 Oct0-2 12-14L
- 20 Mar0-2 7-12L
- 05 Dec0-2 6-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Joao Victor Couto Loureiro 1507 · Pedro Sakamoto 1586
| Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | Pedro Sakamoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pedro Sakamoto (rating 1507 vs 1586).
- Joao Victor Couto Loureiro dominates on serve: 6.4 aces and 45.6% break avg.
- Pedro Sakamoto is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Joao Victor Couto Loureiro 0–4 Pedro Sakamoto (4).
Statistics
| Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | Pedro Sakamoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (3) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.8-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-10.7 | 12.7-7.5 |
| Aces | 6.4 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 0.6 |
| 1st serve % | 75% | 75.9% |
| Break % | 45.6% | 46.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
H2H · Joao Victor Couto Loureiro 0 – 4 Pedro Sakamoto (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Joao Victor Couto Loureiro 0–4 Pedro Sakamoto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10/26 M15 Maceio | 1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 14/10/26 M15 Maringa | 0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 20/03/23 ITF M25 Mosquera | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/12/21 Challenger Florianopolis | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Hernando Jose Escurra Isnardi M15 Joao Pessoa |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/10 | Pedro Sakamoto M15 Maceio |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 24/10 | Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava M15 Maceio |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/10 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos M15 Maceio |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/10 | Pedro Sakamoto M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 04/10 | Lucio Ratti Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/09 | Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/09 | Mateus Alves M15 Curitiba |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 24/09 | Rafael Tosetto M15 Curitiba |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 22/09 | Victor Braga M15 Curitiba |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Pedro Sakamoto
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Carlos Eduardo Lino M15 Joao Pessoa |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/10 | Andre Souza M15 Joao Pessoa |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/10 | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro M15 Maceio |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 24/10 | Lorenzo Gagliardo M15 Maceio |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/10 | Dante Pagani M15 Maceio |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/10 | Bautista De La Pena M15 Maceio |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 21/10 | Valentin Basel M15 Maceio |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/10 | Joao Eduardo Schiessl M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/10 | Hernando Jose Escurra Isnardi M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 16/10 | Nicolas Bruna M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Joao Victor Couto Loureiro vs Pedro Sakamoto?
Our model gives 68% to Pedro Sakamoto, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.