Tennis · M15 Joao Pessoa · 29/10, 15:30
Prediction: Nicolas Bruna vs Bastian Malla
Team pages: Nicolas Bruna · Bastian Malla
Prediction summary
Winner
Nicolas Bruna
Bastian Malla
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Nicolas Bruna
4-6 (W-L)
Bastian Malla
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nicolas Bruna 1492 · Bastian Malla 1547
| Nicolas Bruna | Bastian Malla | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 14% | 86% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bastian Malla (rating 1492 vs 1547).
- Bastian Malla is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Nicolas Bruna | Bastian Malla | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (5) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-12.2 | 12.6-8.8 |
| Aces | 4.2 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 71.6% | 67.1% |
| Break % | 35.3% | 55.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nicolas Bruna
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Denis Klok M15 Joao Pessoa |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/10 | Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago M15 Maceio |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/10 | Pedro Sakamoto M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/10 | Gabriel Schenekenberg M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 14/10 | Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 04/10 | Alan Magadan Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 21/09 | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 08/09 | Rocco Valente M15 Leme |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 01/09 | Carlos Maria Zarate M15 Trelew |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Maximo Zeitune M15 Mar Del Plata |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
Bastian Malla
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Valentin Garay M15 Joao Pessoa |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/10 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos M15 Maceio |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/09 | Ezequiel Monferrer Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/09 | Ian Vertberger M15 Trelew |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 29/08 | Carlos Maria Zarate M15 Mar Del Plata |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 28/08 | Maximo Zeitune M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 25/08 | Jackson Ross M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 20/08 | Gonzalo Villanueva M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 19/08 | Ignacio De Armas M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 18/08 | Nicolas Zanellato M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nicolas Bruna vs Bastian Malla?
Our model gives 73% to Bastian Malla, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.