Tennis · M15 Joao Pessoa · 29/10, 14:00
Prediction: Bautista De La Pena vs Fermin Tenti
Team pages: Bautista De La Pena · Fermin Tenti
Prediction summary
Winner
Bautista De La Pena
Fermin Tenti
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Bautista De La Pena
7-3 (W-L)
Fermin Tenti
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bautista De La Pena 1538 · Fermin Tenti 1479
| Bautista De La Pena | Fermin Tenti | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bautista De La Pena (rating 1538 vs 1479).
Statistics
| Bautista De La Pena | Fermin Tenti | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-9.5 | 8-10.8 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 3 | 1.2 |
| 1st serve % | 64.8% | 53.4% |
| Break % | 47.5% | 60.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bautista De La Pena
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Mateo Barreiros Reyes M15 Joao Pessoa |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/10 | Vitor Machado De Melo Cunha M15 Joao Pessoa |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/10 | Pedro Sakamoto M15 Maceio |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 21/10 | Francisco Fontes Damorim M15 Maceio |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 19/10 | Pedro Dietrich M15 Maceio |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 18/10 | Luka Bojicic Ono M15 Maceio |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/10 | Mateus Alves Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Noah Schachter M15 Trelew |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Nathan Cox M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 17/08 | Fantino Alberca De Las Casas M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-9 | W |
Fermin Tenti
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Nicolas Zanellato M15 Joao Pessoa |
2-1 | 10-9 | W |
| 20/10 | Rocco Valente M15 Maceio |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Ruslan Tiukaev M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Nicola Rispoli M15 Buzau |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Jan Kupcic M15 Buzau |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/08 | Ignacio Monzon M15 Pecs |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 21/08 | Iannis Miletich M15 Arad |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 20/08 | Filippo Francesco Garbero M15 Arad |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/08 | Preston Brown M15 Arad |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bautista De La Pena vs Fermin Tenti?
Our model gives 53% to Fermin Tenti, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.