Tennis · M15 Joao Pessoa · 28/10, 14:00
Prediction: Valentin Garay vs Bastian Malla
Team pages: Valentin Garay · Bastian Malla
Prediction summary
Winner
Valentin Garay
Bastian Malla
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Valentin Garay
5-5 (W-L)
Bastian Malla
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Valentin Garay 1455 · Bastian Malla 1525
| Valentin Garay | Bastian Malla | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 11% | 89% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bastian Malla (rating 1455 vs 1525).
- Bastian Malla is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Valentin Garay | Bastian Malla | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 25% (4) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.2-9 | 11.8-9.6 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 65% | 63.9% |
| Break % | 48.1% | 49.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Valentin Garay
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Vicente Jose Benitez M15 Joao Pessoa |
2-0 | 9-1 | W |
| 19/10 | Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava M15 Maceio |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Alex Barrena Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Juan Sebastian Osorio M15 Belem |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Eric Von Marton Martins M15 Belem |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/09 | Joao Cunha Cunha M15 Leme |
1-2 | 8-8 | L |
| 31/08 | Thomas Enrique Menzel Piccioli M15 Trelew |
1-2 | 7-10 | L |
| 11/05 | Tomas Farjat Challenger Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/05 | Juan Bautista Torres M25 Villa Maria · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Mateo Carballo M25 Villa Maria · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Bastian Malla
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos M15 Maceio |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/09 | Ezequiel Monferrer Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/09 | Ian Vertberger M15 Trelew |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 29/08 | Carlos Maria Zarate M15 Mar Del Plata |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 28/08 | Maximo Zeitune M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 25/08 | Jackson Ross M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 20/08 | Gonzalo Villanueva M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 19/08 | Ignacio De Armas M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 18/08 | Nicolas Zanellato M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 11/08 | Lorenzo Gagliardo M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Valentin Garay vs Bastian Malla?
Our model gives 76% to Bastian Malla, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.