Tennis · M15 Selva Gardena · 27/10, 17:00
Prediction: Lorenzo Rottoli vs Alex Kobelt
Team pages: Lorenzo Rottoli · Alex Kobelt
Prediction summary
Winner
Lorenzo Rottoli
Alex Kobelt
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Lorenzo Rottoli
5-5 (W-L)
Alex Kobelt
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lorenzo Rottoli 1482 · Alex Kobelt 1560
| Lorenzo Rottoli | Alex Kobelt | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alex Kobelt (rating 1482 vs 1560).
- Alex Kobelt is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Alex Kobelt makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Lorenzo Rottoli | Alex Kobelt | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 43% (7) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-11 | 11.4-8.7 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 10 |
| Double faults | 3 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 60.3% | 84% |
| Break % | 45.4% | 39.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lorenzo Rottoli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Stefano D'Agostino Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/09 | Gabriele Maria Noce Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/09 | Garrett Johns M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 06/09 | Lorenzo Angelini Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/08 | Johan Nikles Challenger Como · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 30/08 | Giuseppe La Vela Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/08 | Andrej Martin M15 Vienna |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Matthias Ujvary M15 Vienna |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/08 | Samuele Seghetti M25 Lesa |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Alex Kobelt
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Kim Johannes Niethammer M15 Selva Gardena |
2-0 | 9-7 | W |
| 25/10 | Johannes Lahner M15 Selva Gardena |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/10 | Alex Michael M25 Redbridge |
2-1 | 11-9 | W |
| 13/10 | Lukas Pokorny M15 Szabolcsveresmart · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 12/10 | Jiang Yi Qing M15 Szabolcsveresmart · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/10 | Romain Andres M15 Rodez |
1-2 | 10-11 | L |
| 05/10 | Noah Malige M15 Rodez |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 22/09 | Lucas Renard M25 Falun |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 21/09 | Linus Andersson M25 Falun |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/09 | Maximus Muller M25 Falun |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lorenzo Rottoli vs Alex Kobelt?
Our model gives 60% to Lorenzo Rottoli, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.