Tennis · M15 Selva Gardena · 29/10, 10:00
Prediction: Federico Arnaboldi vs Wojciech Marek
Team pages: Federico Arnaboldi · Wojciech Marek
Prediction summary
Winner
Federico Arnaboldi
Wojciech Marek
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Federico Arnaboldi
4-6 (W-L)
Wojciech Marek
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Federico Arnaboldi 1503 · Wojciech Marek 1525
| Federico Arnaboldi | Wojciech Marek | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Federico Arnaboldi | Wojciech Marek | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 44% (9) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-11.6 | 12.6-12.9 |
| Aces | 4.8 | 4 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 66% | 69.5% |
| Break % | 38.5% | 41.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Federico Arnaboldi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Gabriele Maria Piano M15 Selva Gardena |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/10 | Kalin Ivanovski Challenger Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/10 | Andrea De Marchi Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 29/09 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Bari · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/09 | Federico Iannaccone Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 23/09 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Florian Broska Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/09 | Maximilian Marterer Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 07/09 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
Wojciech Marek
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Denis Constantin Spiridon M15 Selva Gardena |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 16/10 | Stefan Seifert M15 Szabolcsveresmart · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/10 | Melvin Kumar M15 Szabolcsveresmart · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 24/09 | Eero Vasa M25 Falun |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/09 | Iiro Vasa M25 Falun |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 22/09 | Aleksandr Braynin M25 Falun |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 02/09 | Jonas Gundacker M15 Szczawno |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
| 25/08 | Michael Savano M25 Poznan |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/08 | Michael Agwi M15 Krakow |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 20/08 | Karol Filar M15 Krakow |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Federico Arnaboldi vs Wojciech Marek?
Our model gives 55% to Federico Arnaboldi, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.