Tennis · M15 Selva Gardena · 29/10, 12:00

Prediction: Jake Fellows vs Simone Massellani

Team pages: Jake Fellows · Simone Massellani

Prediction summary
Winner
43% 57%
Jake Fellows Simone Massellani
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Jake Fellows 7-3 (W-L)
WWLWWLWLWW
Simone Massellani 6-4 (W-L)
LWLLLWWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jake Fellows 1559 · Simone Massellani 1511
Jake FellowsSimone Massellani
Our model57%43%
Market31%69%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jake Fellows (rating 1559 vs 1511).

Statistics

Jake FellowsSimone Massellani
Win %70%50%
Win % · Clay 67% (3) 33% (3)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.61.1-1.1
Games (G-P)11.8-8.59.6-10.3
Aces2.30.7
Double faults1.71.9
1st serve %72.6%61.6%
Break %42.7%38.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jake Fellows

LWLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/10 Luca Castagnola
M15 Selva Gardena
2-0 13-9 W
27/10 Leonardo Taddia
M15 Selva Gardena
2-0 12-4 W
19/10 Kyle Mckay
M25 Redbridge
0-2 7-12 L
18/10 Dylan Leeman
M25 Redbridge
2-0 13-8 W
24/09 Alec Deckers
M25 Setubal
0-2 8-12 L
23/09 Rodrigo Leal
M25 Setubal
2-0 12-2 W
21/09 Dino Molokova Ferreira
M25 Setubal
2-0 12-6 W
05/09 Chirag Duhan
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
1-2 16-19 L
04/09 Aditya Balsekar
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
03/09 Giulio Perego
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W

Simone Massellani

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/10 Kacper Knitter
M15 Selva Gardena
2-0 12-6 W
27/10 Pietro Orlando Fellin
M15 Selva Gardena
2-0 14-10 W
23/10 Liam Gavrielides
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 7-16 L
22/10 Rocco Piatti
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 16-11 W
21/10 Samir Hamza Reguig
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 11-3 W
13/10 Dimitar Kuzmanov
Challenger Olbia · Hard
0-2 2-12 L
21/07 Mathys Domenc
M15 Segrate
0-2 9-13 L
17/06 Giuseppe La Vela
M25 Milano · ~Clay
0-2 7-13 L
15/06 Gabriele Bosio
M25 Milano · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
17/03 Tiago Cacao
M15 Rovinj · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jake Fellows vs Simone Massellani?

Our model gives 57% to Simone Massellani, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.