Tennis · M15 Selva Gardena · 27/10, 15:30

Prediction: Leonardo Taddia vs Jake Fellows

Team pages: Leonardo Taddia · Jake Fellows

Prediction summary
Winner
29% 71%
Leonardo Taddia Jake Fellows
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Leonardo Taddia 4-6 (W-L)
LLLLWLWWLW
Jake Fellows 7-3 (W-L)
WWWWLWWLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Leonardo Taddia 1474 · Jake Fellows 1555
Leonardo TaddiaJake Fellows
Our model39%61%
Market21%79%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jake Fellows (rating 1474 vs 1555).
  • Jake Fellows is in better form: 70% recent wins.

Statistics

Leonardo TaddiaJake Fellows
Win %40%70%
Win % · Clay 33% (6) 80% (5)
Sets (G-P)0.8-1.41.5-0.7
Games (G-P)8.6-10.912-8.7
Aces0.82.6
Double faults1.81.9
1st serve %54.3%72.7%
Break %48.1%40.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Leonardo Taddia

LWWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/10 Pietro Mugelli
M15 Selva Gardena
2-1 10-12 W
02/09 Lorenzo Berto
M15 Bologna · ~Clay
0-2 3-9 L
01/09 Edoardo Pagnoni
M15 Bologna · ~Clay
2-1 11-11 W
31/08 Leonardo Angeloni
M15 Bologna · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W
25/08 Blu Baker
M25 Lausanne
0-2 10-13 L
24/08 Arthur Vildeuil
M25 Lausanne
2-0 13-9 W
26/07 Gioele Cerelli
M25 Bolzano · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
13/07 Lambert Ruland
M25 Kramsach
0-2 2-8 L
26/05 Alessandro Coccioli
M25 Grado · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
19/05 Miha Vetrih
M15 Litija · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L

Jake Fellows

WWLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/10 Kyle Mckay
M25 Redbridge
0-2 7-12 L
18/10 Dylan Leeman
M25 Redbridge
2-0 13-8 W
24/09 Alec Deckers
M25 Setubal
0-2 8-12 L
23/09 Rodrigo Leal
M25 Setubal
2-0 12-2 W
21/09 Dino Molokova Ferreira
M25 Setubal
2-0 12-6 W
05/09 Chirag Duhan
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
1-2 16-19 L
04/09 Aditya Balsekar
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
03/09 Giulio Perego
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
02/09 Karim Ibrahim
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-1 15-11 W
01/09 Aryan Lakshmanan
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Leonardo Taddia vs Jake Fellows?

Our model gives 71% to Jake Fellows, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.