Tennis · M15 Selva Gardena · 27/10, 18:30

Prediction: Alberto Morolli vs Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei

Team pages: Alberto Morolli · Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei

Prediction summary
Winner
44% 56%
Alberto Morolli Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Alberto Morolli 4-6 (W-L)
LWLWLLLWWL
Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei 3-7 (W-L)
LLWLLWLLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Alberto Morolli 1473 · Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei 1448
Alberto MorolliDaniel Aleksandar Amarandei
Our model54%46%
Market35%65%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei makes many double faults (4.3/match).

Statistics

Alberto MorolliDaniel Aleksandar Amarandei
Win %40%30%
Win % · Clay 43% (7) 33% (6)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.40.9-1.6
Games (G-P)8-9.79.7-12.2
Aces12
Double faults2.24.3
1st serve %59.4%62.6%
Break %37.2%29.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alberto Morolli

LLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/09 Louis Van Herck
M15 Forbach
0-2 4-12 L
20/09 Pietro Mugelli
M15 Forbach
2-0 12-5 W
06/09 Evan Galea
M25 Pozzuoli
1-2 9-11 L
01/09 Aradhya Kshitij
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
27/08 Yassine Smiej
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
26/08 Rohan Mehra
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-1 16-9 W
25/08 Akshaj Subramanian
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-0 12-1 W
27/07 Davide Tortora
M25 Bolzano · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L
26/07 Adriano Botta
M25 Bolzano · ~Clay
2-1 11-10 W
16/06 Gabrielius Guzauskas
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L

Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei

LLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/10 Giammarco Gandolfi
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
1-2 13-13 L
14/09 Sebastiano Cocola
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
0-2 6-13 L
08/09 Aidan Mchugh
M25 Pozzuoli
1-2 10-15 L
25/08 Manuel Plunger
M15 Vienna
0-2 7-13 L
12/08 Ammar Elamin
M15 Warsaw
1-2 11-16 L
11/08 Piotr Siekanowicz
M15 Warsaw
2-1 13-7 W
27/07 Leonardo Borrelli
M25 Bolzano · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
26/07 Mattia Cona
M25 Bolzano · ~Clay
2-0 14-11 W
01/07 Leonardo Borrelli
M15 Umag · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L
29/06 Karel Froemel
M15 Umag · ~Clay
2-1 10-9 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alberto Morolli vs Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei?

Our model gives 56% to Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.