Tennis · M15 Joao Pessoa · 28/10, 14:00
Prediction: Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity vs Lorenzo Gagliardo
Team pages: Lorenzo Gagliardo
Prediction summary
Winner
Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity
Lorenzo Gagliardo
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity
4-6 (W-L)
Lorenzo Gagliardo
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity 1484 · Lorenzo Gagliardo 1586
| Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity | Lorenzo Gagliardo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 17% | 83% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lorenzo Gagliardo (rating 1484 vs 1586).
- Lorenzo Gagliardo is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity | Lorenzo Gagliardo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.3 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 8-10.2 | 11.7-7.4 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 2 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 0.5 |
| 1st serve % | 58.2% | 69.5% |
| Break % | 41.6% | 34.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Dante Pagani M15 Maceio |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 16/10 | Rafael Tosetto M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/10 | Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/10 | Rodrigo Kenichi Abe Hirai M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/09 | Mateus Alves M15 Curitiba |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Leonel Cesar Castro M15 Curitiba |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 28/07 | Juan Sebastian Osorio M15 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/11 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida ITF M25 Santa Cruz do Sul |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/11 | Victor A De Castro Rocha ITF M25 Santa Cruz do Sul |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/10 | Gustavo Heide ITF M25 Lajeado · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Lorenzo Gagliardo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Pedro Sakamoto M15 Maceio |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/10 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez M15 Maceio |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/10 | Ignacio Monzon M15 Maceio |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/10 | Bruno Rodrigues M15 Maceio |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/10 | Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/10 | Rocco Valente UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 09/10 | Lautaro Rocha UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/10 | Dante Ezequiel Lopez UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 06/10 | Valentino De Pellegrin UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/10 | Agustin Fernandez Badia UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
2-1 | 16-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity vs Lorenzo Gagliardo?
Our model gives 75% to Lorenzo Gagliardo, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.