Tennis · WTA Curitiba · 28/10, 15:00
Prediction: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Antonia Rivera
Team pages: Leyre Romero Gormaz · Antonia Rivera
Prediction summary
Winner
Leyre Romero Gormaz
Antonia Rivera
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Leyre Romero Gormaz
6-4 (W-L)
Antonia Rivera
1-9 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Leyre Romero Gormaz 1550 · Antonia Rivera 1438
| Leyre Romero Gormaz | Antonia Rivera | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 89% | 11% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leyre Romero Gormaz (rating 1550 vs 1438).
- Leyre Romero Gormaz is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Leyre Romero Gormaz makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Leyre Romero Gormaz | Antonia Rivera | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 0.5-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-9.5 | 7.9-11.8 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 63.6% | 52.2% |
| Break % | 45% | 48.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leyre Romero Gormaz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Julia Konishi Camargo Silva WTA Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/10 | Clara Burel WTA Lisbon · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/10 | Dalma Galfi WTA Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/10 | Fiona Ferro WTA Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/10 | Raluca Georgiana Serban WTA Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/10 | Alice Rame WTA Lisbon · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 23/09 | Jessica Pieri WTA Tolentino · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 21/09 | Polona Hercog WTA Tolentino · Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 15/09 | Martina Trevisan WTA Valencia · Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Alevtina Ibragimova WTA Antalya · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Antonia Rivera
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Eduarda Gomes WTA Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/09 | Justina Mikulskyte WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Carolina Alves WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Lidia Encheva W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Samira De Stefano W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 11/08 | Darya Astakhova W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Kristina Penickova W35 Southaven |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Mayu Crossley W35 Florence |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Krisha Mahendran W35 Santa Fe |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Taylor Gruber W35 Santa Fe |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Antonia Rivera?
Our model gives 78% to Leyre Romero Gormaz, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.