Tennis · M25 Tamworth · 27/10, 01:30

Prediction: Jeremy Beale vs Jerome Estephan

Team pages: Jeremy Beale · Jerome Estephan

Prediction summary
Winner
79% 21%
Jeremy Beale Jerome Estephan
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Jeremy Beale 6-4 (W-L)
WWLWWWLLWL
Jerome Estephan 5-5 (W-L)
LLLLLWWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jeremy Beale 1536 · Jerome Estephan 1424
Jeremy BealeJerome Estephan
Our model66%34%
Market91%9%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jeremy Beale (rating 1536 vs 1424).
  • Jeremy Beale is in better form: 60% recent wins.

Statistics

Jeremy BealeJerome Estephan
Win %60%20%
Win % · Hard 60% (5) 20% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.90.7-1.6
Games (G-P)11.7-9.89.2-12.5
Aces52.2
Double faults2.93.8
1st serve %71.1%60.7%
Break %51%29.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jeremy Beale

WWLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/10 Enzo Aguiard
M25 Tamworth
1-2 14-17 L
20/10 Luca Connaughton
M25 Tamworth
2-0 12-4 W
01/10 Derek Pham
M25 Darwin
1-2 8-16 L
30/09 Tai Leonard Sach
M25 Darwin
2-1 16-13 W
29/09 David Qariaqus
M25 Darwin
2-0 13-9 W
15/09 Arjun Mehrotra
UTR Pro Sydney · Hard
1-2 9-13 L
14/09 Haruto Ishikawa
UTR Pro Sydney · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
12/09 Scott Jones
UTR Pro Sydney · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
11/09 Oscar Andrews
UTR Pro Sydney · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
10/09 Jacob Cairncross
UTR Pro Sydney · Hard
2-0 12-3 W

Jerome Estephan

WLLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
20/09 Andre Filep
UTR Pro Sydney · Hard
1-2 12-14 L
19/09 Elijah Dikkenberg
UTR Pro Sydney · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
18/09 Arjun Mehrotra
UTR Pro Sydney · Hard
1-2 14-15 L
17/09 Haruto Ishikawa
UTR Pro Sydney · Hard
1-2 10-17 L
16/09 Oscar Andrews
UTR Pro Sydney · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
14/09 Jera Staley
UTR Pro Sydney · Hard
0-2 7-13 L
12/09 Kuma Ito
UTR Pro Sydney · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
11/09 Alec Braund
UTR Pro Sydney · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
10/09 Matthew Burton
UTR Pro Sydney · Hard
0-2 2-12 L
09/09 Dimitri Bagaric
UTR Pro Sydney · Hard
0-2 5-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jeremy Beale vs Jerome Estephan?

Our model gives 79% to Jeremy Beale, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.